Data Sources: Phillips et al. (Natural History Museum BII Dataset) | Kozicka et al. (GLOBIOM-IIASA Livestock Production)
Projected ecological trajectory under continued current dietary patterns and livestock production trends.
Food prices exhibit increased volatility as ecosystem services degrade. Pollinator populations decline precipitously in agricultural regions. Coffee, tree nuts, and numerous fruit crops experience price escalation beyond accessibility for median-income households. Soil health deteriorates despite industrial interventions through synthetic inputs and genetic modifications. Scientific consensus strengthens regarding biodiversity risk, but public attention remains divided.
Simultaneous crop failures across major production regions. Strategic grain reserves depleted multiple times annually. Food security emerges as dominant political concern amid price volatility. Governments allocate significant capital toward cellular agriculture and controlled environment agriculture, but deployment rates prove insufficient to offset natural system degradation.
Rural-to-urban migration accelerates as traditional agriculture becomes economically unviable. Biodiversity metrics reach critical thresholds. Scientific warnings escalate, but policy responses prioritize technological substitution over systemic intervention.
Approximately 2036-2037: Cascading ecosystem failures across biomes. Amazon rainforest transitions from carbon sink to carbon source. Marine dead zones expand exponentially. Soil microbiome collapse across extensive agricultural zones.
For the first time, technological innovation and alternative production methods prove unable to compensate for natural system losses. Global food production enters permanent decline despite continued agricultural advancement. Biodiversity metrics cross irreversibility threshold.
Acceleration beyond intervention capacity. Millennial-scale natural systems undergo permanent degradation within multi-year timeframe. Global food production declines sharply as pollination services, soil regeneration, and climate regulation disappear.
Food security failures extend to high-income nations. International trade networks fragment as nations prioritize domestic resource retention. Social stability deteriorates across multiple regions simultaneously.
Not species extinction, but civilizational collapse. Mortality measured in billions, driven not by direct climate impacts but by food system collapse dependent on now-degraded natural systems. Survivors inherit permanently impaired planetary capacity insufficient to support complex societies.
This trajectory reflects current empirical trends as demonstrated in the data above. However, this scenario differs fundamentally from other existential risks: prevention requires only individual dietary choice.
Unlike carbon mitigation requiring systemic transformation, unlike policy reform requiring decades of institutional change — ecological collapse prevention requires only widespread adoption of plant-based dietary patterns. Nearly one billion individuals already maintain such diets. The intervention exists, demonstrates universal applicability, and can be initiated immediately by any individual.
Prevention capacity resides in the daily decisions of ordinary people. This represents not a crisis narrative, but the most actionable pathway to planetary stability currently available.
#Plantist is a decentralized global intervention designed to accelerate a rapid shift to plant-based living in order to prevent ecological collapse.
It applies principles from social diffusion science to trigger cascading identity adoption across leadership networks, institutions, and communities worldwide.
Nearly 80% of global agricultural land is used for livestock production, driving deforestation, biodiversity loss, freshwater depletion, and systemic ecological instability. Preventing irreversible collapse requires rapid, large-scale reduction in animal consumption.
Incremental change is insufficient. The timeline demands coordinated identity-level transformation capable of reaching global scale within years — not decades.
#Plantist functions as a catalytic core: initiating shifts at high-leverage points where change can spread exponentially. It does not operate as a traditional campaign or mass organization. Its structure is intentionally lean, decentralized, and designed for rapid diffusion.
